If we go straight to 2050 or so, yes we could have then (later this month or next) a sharp drop of more than 100 from there (getting us essentially where we are now). I think that for the next few weeks, including a possible decline, the 1925 should serve as a good barrier (actually, that is a "safe level", technically, the old 1940 Maginot line comes back into play). I am not saying chase anything (I myself am at 42% cash and will deploy slowly into retrenching issues, not breakouts).