VMC Individual Stock Returns (Week 27)
Individual Stock Returns Commentary:
The Best performing stock in the contest was RWC up 248.10%, which was only picked by one stock picker. There were 115 stocks up, 1 stock unchanged, and 78 down in the contest, which basically means 59.54% of the stock, were up if you count a tie like I do as a ½ up and ½ down. There were 20/194 stocks up triple digits returns, which happen to mean 10.31% of the stock picked once in the contest was up at least 100%.
A lot has been made by Len, that one of the reason why a sheep like CWS9 won the contest was the unusual performance of the top 4, and he is right the top 4 have done extremely well. But is really that the reason why CWS9 won the contest, He really was helped the most by AOB & FPP, and that is a fact. It is important to note that even though our top picked stocks did better, by the way you would have to believe that would continue to some extent, the reason why they are picked more is because they are like more by the board as a collective, and I don’t think anyone made a smart bet betting against our top picks so my belief is our top pick will do well again in the second contest. But lets look at #’s.
---Only one person picked 11 out of the top 20 placed stocks. That is at a 55% clip, keep in mind around 62% of the stocks picked were only picked once. So I don’t believe that is unsustainable differences. I mean I have to believe there is a better chance of a top picked stock by the board performing better then a stock picked by one person, yet there isn’t a huge difference in the #’s where you might say this contest results were abnormal either.
---Only one of the top 4 stocks made it into the top 20, that being VPHM, the others did relatively well, but it important to note they really didn’t finish at the very top of the standings either in 22nd, 36th, 39th respectively.
Conclusions: So I believe this shows (That our top picked stocks), that the results (In Placement terms (Not percentage terms) are very sustainable). Now I didn’t think the Odds were in Favor of a sheep winning like CWS9 were good either, but I strongly believe the results were affected by having a significant # of Triple digit gainers, and yet no stock even crack +250%. There was not really a dominant stock in the contest, that really drastically outperformed every stock by a wide margin, and if these conditions present themselves again it wouldn't shock me if a sheep won the next contest as well, only there are a lot of other variables that could make the Sheep less or more effective (I really have no clue) If I had to guess I would say the rules could make a Sheep more effective, by making each stock more effective even if picked a lot, because someone could get out at a different price then the other contestant who picked the same stock, and that in my humble opinion could possibly increase the effectiveness of a top picked stocked if the contestant has good timing/bad timing of when to get out. So without further ado the info is below.
Place---Stock Symbol---% Return
1 RWC 248.10%
2 BTYH.OB 240.91%
3 HOM 229.41%
4 CXTI.OB 182.81%
5 LMIA 182.07%
6 FPP 177.82%
7 TGIS.OB 170.63%
8 VPHM 166.19%
9 AOB 159.41%
10 HRBN.OB 154.72%
11 TSTA.OB 151.97%
12 ELTK 138.89%
13 ROBE.OB 138.71%
14 AVSO.OB 136.36%
15 ALY 120.71%
16 STV 113.31%
17 CAMY.OB 108.43%
18 ITEX.OB 106.90%
19 BSM 104.00%
20 ANCX 103.57%
21 FTK 96.32%
22 CHAR.OB 95.38%
23 CFK 93.72%
24 HURC 93.11%
25 WPCS 91.05%
26 SMID.OB 90.63%
27 LPSN 83.33%
28 ENER 82.08%
29 KSWW.OB 75.00%
30 GPOR.OB 74.64%
31 MVCO 71.05%
32 URGI 70.78%
33 ESCL 69.71%
34 CMNN.OB 66.67%
35 NXG 64.86%
36 PDGE.OB 61.95%
37 ETLT.OB 60.00%
38 MPAD.OB 59.09%
39 ASPN.OB 58.82%
40 HPCO.OB 57.77%
41 CTIB 57.30%
42 WMCO.OB 52.14%
43 ASYS 51.17%
44 JADE 51.10%
45 PKZ 50.36%
46 JOB 46.92%
47 OVTI 46.87%
48 DYSL.OB 45.76%
49 DWSN 44.97%
50 CCOM.OB 43.84%
51 SMTS 42.41%
52 WSTF 41.43%
53 MCX 41.21%
54 RIO 40.51%
55 SYNX 40.31%
56 NTST 40.11%
57 CVV 39.90%
58 SYS 37.31%
59 ORBT 36.98%
60 NTO 35.10%
61 GIGM 33.18%
62 BGC 32.84%
63 TCHC 32.74%
64 LINN.OB 32.00%
65 CWBS 31.98%
66 LTON 30.90%
67 ABMC 30.59%
68 IAGX.OB 30.26%
69 ALDA 30.01%
70 CBBT.OB 30.00%
71 SNG 29.30%
72 GLMA.OB 28.00%
73 HAUP 27.69%
74 MAG 26.46%
75 EPG 25.00%
76 USOO.OB 24.53%
77 BTN 23.80%
78 TVOC.OB 23.73%
79 EGY 22.54%
80 GACF.OB 22.40%
81 FSTF 22.16%
82 NMSS 22.03%
83 MFCO 22.00%
84 PLUS 19.65%
85 CPE 19.42%
86 SPOP.OB 18.64%
87 EZEN.OB 17.56%
88 AVEE.OB 16.67%
89 SBUX 16.18%
90 CORG.OB 15.82%
91 SYNA 15.73%
92 GMOS.OB 15.00%
93 GV 14.67%
94 HCAR.OB 13.04%
95 EMRI.OB 12.61%
96 ERS 12.50%
97 CALM 12.23%
98 CVU 11.78%
99 UCIA.OB 11.15%
100 DY 11.06%
101 VSR 10.94%
102 XEC 10.54%
103 ACRG.OB 10.37%
104 GFRP.OB 9.09%
105 UAHC 9.09%
106 UTSI 7.61%
107 MIVA 6.68%
108 STS 5.74%
109 TASA.OB 5.33%
110 ZYNX.OB 4.44%
111 GW 4.32%
112 AID 3.18%
113 FRGB 2.12%
114 TVIN 1.78%
115 SDCO.OB 1.43%
116 EXXA 0.00%
117 AMLJ.OB -1.52%
118 DAAT.OB -2.08%
119 CCEL.OB -3.41%
120 TMFZ.OB -3.45%
121 IECE.OB -4.62%
122 UBET -4.83%
123 AMOT -5.66%
124 PLCC -5.67%
125 S -5.74%
126 MDF -6.25%
127 NRCNA.OB -6.25%
128 APES.OB -6.67%
129 KMA -7.65%
130 CXPI.OB -8.16%
131 PXG -8.81%
132 THK -9.62%
133 MMRK.OB -11.11%
134 ACET -12.03%
135 TMR -12.13%
136 FFH -13.64%
137 NKBS -14.22%
138 CSPI -14.34%
139 ARIS.OB -15.38%
140 CSTL -15.76%
141 ADGO.OB -16.08%
142 XWG -16.42%
143 CESV -16.47%
144 IPT -17.02%
145 FC -17.06%
146 SYXI -17.56%
147 AFPC.OB -17.62%
148 SPDV.OB -17.65%
149 JVA -17.72%
150 PIHC.OB -17.79%
151 RIMS.OB -18.18%
152 DOC -18.95%
153 CPSX.OB -19.23%
154 SCLD -20.47%
155 LBIX -21.31%
156 BHIP -21.42%
157 PAM -21.43%
158 PHST.OB -22.29%
159 TGA -22.54%
160 ETEC.OB -23.08%
161 IPII -23.57%
162 ALVR -24.96%
163 JMIH.OB -25.00%
164 IDWK -25.75%
165 DFNS.OB -30.21%
166 VSYS.OB -31.01%
167 ANII.OB -31.11%
168 EKCS.OB -31.14%
169 ECGI -31.25%
170 MKRS.OB -32.00%
171 MCZ -33.33%
172 EYDY.OB -34.07%
173 CYD -35.50%
174 DRL -35.91%
175 HSPR.OB -36.00%
176 IIG -37.74%
177 HSTM -39.95%
178 NMKT.OB -40.20%
179 IDSA -41.51%
180 FONR -43.33%
181 BPTR.OB -44.44%
182 DGIT -46.00%
183 MFIC.OB -46.00%
184 DHB -47.10%
185 SWTX.OB -53.08%
186 AWRCF.OB -54.13%
187 SGRP -58.09%
188 CGNW.OB -59.18%
189 IDIB.OB -60.86%
190 DNDT.OB -85.60%
191 YIWA.OB -87.50%
192 AMLS.OB -92.00%
193 ABRX -95.83%
194 WHAI.OB -98.71%
